Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Foreign media: Romania and Bulgaria have officially joined the Schengen area since 2025. According to Agence France-Presse, on the 12th local time, the European Commission approved that Bulgaria and Romania will officially become members of the Schengen area from January 1st, 2025. According to reports, Hungarian Interior Minister Pinter Shan Duoer said, "Welcome Bulgaria and Romania to join the Schengen area ... This is a historic moment." According to reports, Romania and Bulgaria became EU members in 2007. In March 2024, the two countries partially joined the Schengen area, and only the air and maritime border controls were cancelled. In November, the EU completed the final step of approving the two countries to join the Schengen area. (Zhongxin. com)Morgan Stanley upgraded Dahua's rating to parity, with a target price of RMB in 19 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, had a low rating. The target price is 19 yuan RMB, which is up by 12%.
Newly issued loans exceeding one trillion yuan to support the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises have achieved results. On the 10th, I learned from the State Financial Supervision and Administration that since the launch of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises in October this year, various localities and banks have responded quickly and achieved initial results. According to the data from the General Administration of Financial Supervision, by the end of November, all localities had visited 12.072 million small and micro business entities based on the working mechanism, of which 1.942 million were included in the "declaration list" and 1.303 million were included in the "recommendation list". Banks granted 2.2 trillion yuan of new credit and 1.2 trillion yuan of new loans to "recommended list" business entities.Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Researchers said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.
The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)Market News: EU officials are worried about the impact on broadcasting and streaming media.Foreign investment increased by 9.7% in the first 10 months. China enterprises need multiple supporting escorts to "go global". At present, it has become the general trend for China enterprises to "go global". The data from January to October 2024 recently released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that the amount of foreign direct investment in China's whole industry has increased steadily. Statistics from the Ministry of Commerce and the foreign exchange bureau show that from January to October 2024, China's foreign direct investment in the whole industry was 135.87 billion US dollars, up 9.7% year-on-year. From large-scale infrastructure enterprises to build traffic arteries overseas, to technology companies to set up R&D centers in foreign countries, and then to manufacturers to lay out overseas factories, China enterprises have a wide and in-depth overseas footprint. However, it is worth noting that in the increasingly complex international environment, the support of professional supporting services is very important for China enterprises in the process of "going global". (SSE)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14